The Bollinger
Bands® will bracket price
action. In times of high volatility, they widen, while in times of low
volatility, they move closer together. So basically, they adjust to the
movement and volatility of the market. This extra volatility filter is the real
value of this tool.
There are two conditions we look for in a trading opportunity.
We want to buy a pullback down to support when the market is in an uptrend or
sell a rally up to resistance when the market is in a downtrend. The Bollinger
Bands typically offer good resistance and support for our trade setup, so we just have to make sure we are
following the strong trending pairs.
Let’s look at an example on this USDCHF daily chart.
The trend is up as we can see a series of higher highs and
higher lows, which means to look for a dip down to support (the lower band) for
a buying opportunity. We have two examples noted on the chart…the first took
place in May and the second took place in June of this year. The market traded
down to the lower Bollinger Band in each of the instances noted in the boxes.
However, this is not necessarily the buy itself but rather just the signal
to begin to look for a buy on a reversal.
Traders will use a variety of methods to determine the entry,
ranging from using their favorite indicator to just buying as the market moves
up through the previous high. One popular approach is to buy on the first
candle that closes
above the middle
line…the 20-day Simple Moving Average. This serves as more confirmation of the
reversal and increases our chance of success on the trade. (On the chart above,
the “buy candle” is identified by a green arrow.) Traders could then place
their protective stop below the lowest wick in the box and look for twice that
risk in profit for a 1:2
risk: reward ratio.
By exercising patience and discipline and waiting for that first
close above the 20-day Simple Moving Average would be a way to enter this trade
using the Bollinger Band strategy that you just learned.
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